While you are writing PPT in the office, Alaska sturgeon is jumping out of the water …

The former advertising words have poked the soft underbelly of countless migrant workers.

Nowadays, writing PPT and watching Alaska sturgeon jump can happen at the same time.

With the internationalization of talent flow, the globalization of office space and the increasing integration of work and life,"digital vagrant"This emerging group is on the rise. They enjoy unprecedented initiative, flexibility and sense of control in working hours.

According to the data of the global recruitment platform Bossjob, since the third quarter of 2023, the number of candidates seeking long-distance or mixed work arrangements has increased significantly, with a growth rate of seven times. A survey of over 3 million active job seekers based on this platform shows that about 32% job seekers are actively seeking remote job opportunities.

According to a report released by MBO Partners, the number of digital vagrants in the world has reached as high as.35 million, and is expected to break through the 1 billion mark in 2035.

More than 40 countries around the world have responded positively by launching digital visitor visas.At least 15 European countries such as Germany, Spain and Greece have joined the ranks.

There are also more and more "big manufacturers" who choose to leave their jobs to become digital vagrants, start living around the world and realize geographical arbitrage. In Little Red Book, # How to become a topic with high activity such as digital vagrants has accumulated 200 million+views.

"When you work in a big factory, you will feel that there is only one stand-alone game to play in the world, but after you don’t go to work, you will find that there are many kinds of games to play in this world."

This is the inner portrayal of Sherry, a female worker in the third factory. After three big factories, Sherry has too much say in digital vagrants.

"Although the big factory is good, don’t be greedy."In her view, this is just a bigger grass-roots team. I thought I could "build a plane" before I went in, but I found it was "screwing" after I went in."After playing a game, you can’t cheat your own brain. You don’t have to be promoted and raised in a big factory, and it’s called landing. "

Being a digital vagrant, while making money and career, experiencing life and exploring the world, Sherry feels completely stretched.

Fang Fang often thinks, what is the significance of living in the world? Her answer isDeeply experience the charm of life in different regions"Only by going out can we reach the Cape of Good Hope and get the cheat sheet secretly sent to us by the universe."

Digital vagrants don’t have to worry too much about job opportunities. According to Gartner’s survey, as many as 82% companies plan to include more policies related to telecommuting and digital nomadism for their employees in the future.

This paper will focus on those digital vagrants who make millions of dollars a year but bravely choose to leave the big factory, and feel how they go forward bravely in the pursuit of freedom and dreams, and what unprecedented challenges and puzzles they have encountered.

First, there is finally no "class smell" on me.

"I didn’t expect to be so lucky. The first time I dive, I actually opened my face with the long-tailed shark."

After two weeks in Malatu, Indonesia, Emily realized the freedom of diving. She saw long-tailed sharks, sea wolf storms, Czech storms, leopard sharks, dolphins, jellyfish, and helped turtles hatch their eggs. In her eyes, Maratu is cleaner than Semporna, and has a kind of unique and independent beauty.

This is Emily’s 200th day of resignation as a digital vagrant. Her previous job was as a marketing manager of the world’s top 500 multinational pharmaceutical companies with an annual salary of one million. But a "class smell", there are endless meetings and endless phone calls every day.

And now,Her life is mainly diving,Two dives in the morning and one dive in the afternoon,Give Chinese lessons to foreign students remotely through the online platform at noon and evening.Near dusk, go to the deck to bask in the sun, while listening to submarine missile guitar singing, while watching the sunset, you can also chat with potential friends from all walks of life about their experiences and life.

As a digital vagrant, Emily found a job as an online Chinese teacher, who can take classes while watching the world. As long as there is a signal, she can take classes anywhere. In the kitchen of Thailand B&B, in the self-driving car to Xinjiang, in the diving dock, on the suitcase of the wooden house at sea … ……Emily keeps unlocking new scenes of telecommuting.

After becoming a digital vagrant, Ye’s whole body and mind have been healed while traveling and working.

I traveled around the world with my backpack for 154 days, passing through 18 countries on 5 continents, diving in the Antarctic for my 30-year-old birthday, hiking in the Himalayas to see Rizhao Jinshan, taking a romantic hot air balloon in Turkey, and seeing half the city and half the grave in Sarajevo.

And six months ago, she was still deeply involved in the involution, PUA, serious internal friction and various red lights in her body. Health and millions of annual salary are placed at both ends of the scale.

"What I hate is not work, but going to work."

Ye Zi’s previous work in the big factory was not complicated in itself, but the complicated procedures and office socializing made her exhausted, such as dealing with colleagues to confirm the landing, holding large and small meetings to promote the process, and even preventing people from making small moves behind their backs and being required to go to the toilet for no more than 10 minutes.

Just like a new factory prison, there is a monitor overhead to prevent employees from fishing and chatting. In addition, there are various KPI, OKR and other performance evaluations.

"The annual salary of millions of Internet manufacturers is really fragrant, and it is really necessary to change it." After a struggle, she decided to choose naked resignation as a digital vagrant.

"I suddenly feel that the whole world is much cleaner and simpler, and I don’t have to deal with many meaningless people and things."

For Xiao Xincheng, a 34-year-old programmer, being a digital vagrant for telecommuting,It is also an effective solution to the "35-year-old crisis".

Xiao Xincheng was once a "child of other people’s family", and he got nearly 40W annual salary and stock benefits from a famous school as soon as he graduated. However, after the first few years, he found himself in a technical bottleneck and needed to be sublimated, but the endless overtime made him have no time to study.

With the influx of more cost-effective "post-waves", Xiao Xincheng, 34, was forced to "graduate" because he couldn’t keep up with new technologies and couldn’t compete with young people physically.

"Everyone in China thinks that 35 years old will be a watershed in the programmer’s career." At this awkward age, Xiao Xincheng went out to look for a job. After being a "favored son of heaven" for so many years, he encountered the "Waterloo" in life for the first time.

In order to distract himself, he took his resignation gift package and started his life as a digital vagrant living around the world.

Soon, he found a remote job overseas through the online platform. This company is American. Americans think that age is a private matter, and they don’t care too much about age in interviews and workplaces. Xiao Xincheng Many American colleagues, aged 40 to 50, are still engaged in front-line development.

Moreover, he was pleasantly surprised to find that after becoming a digital vagrant,Can save 28 hours of commuting time in a week,It takes more than 1000 hours a year, which gives him more time to pursue his interests and dreams.

Second, the compulsory course of digital vagrants, first learn to "disenchant"

However, there is no denying that digital vagrants are not as beautiful as they thought, and they will also encounter various problems.

The first lesson of becoming a digital vagrant is to learn to disenchant the "digital vagrant".

Freedom of work, freedom of time, freedom of place, freedom of movement, these seemingly attractive labels, in fact, hide a lot of risks.

Digital vagrants still have to live, rent a house, eat, and deal with the odds and ends in life. For remote workers who rely on the network, a stable network environment is even more important.

Emily is a teacher of Chinese as a foreign language and needs to teach foreigners Chinese online. Before living in Thailand, the network signal was too bad, and the class was always intermittent. No way, Emily had to move the computer to the kitchen of the hotel, because it was closest to the router.

Personal protection is a great need of digital vagrants.Without social security, many digital vagrants are generally weak in their ability to resist risks and are in a state of "safe streaking".

The lamb accidentally wrestled abroad and hit her chest. After a few minutes of violent impact, she had difficulty breathing and her scalp was numb. She squatted on the ground for a long time before she stood up.

After more than a week of continuous pain, the lamb went to check and found that two ribs were cracked, and she had to rest with a waist for 2 months.

Although the expense of travel insurance has been settled, Lamb also realized that he can no longer be in a state of "streaking" and has provided himself with millions of medical care, accident insurance, critical illness insurance and life insurance.

Self-discipline is a big challenge for digital vagrants. Without a fixed commute time and a clear work framework, the boundary between work and life becomes blurred.

Greater freedom is behind more self-discipline. But this is a struggle against human nature, and it is not easy to do.

After Xinda became a digital vagrant from naked resignation, a big factory, he began a period of "indulgence". He often played games and brushed his mobile phone until the early hours of the morning, and his biological clock was disordered and his work efficiency was low during the day, which made him feel miserable.

Sherry used to be deeply influenced by "non-self-discipline", but she quickly adjusted herself and chose a place with a strong working atmosphere to Push herself with "heteronomy".

At the same time, I am constantly familiar with exploring my own working clock and making reasonable arrangements to improve efficiency. Aware that she will be more efficient at work at night, she will do input for learning in the morning, work for output in the evening, and rest and play in the afternoon.

Every day, Sherry will make a work plan in advance, which is not very difficult, and will also use a fun activity as a work Deadline for herself, such as making an appointment with friends for dinner. Then you will try to improve efficiency for dinner appointments.

In this way, Sherry can finish a day’s work efficiently in two hours a day, but her income has tripled.

What Li Xinran faces is more.Pressure from parents.

In the eyes of parents, digital vagrants are "unreliable" vagrants. It is better to go back to a small town in my hometown to take an examination of a civil servant or a teacher, and get married and have children as soon as possible. For parents’ opinions, Li Xinran chose "not to listen" and can blacken his parents if necessary.

There are also unavoidable anxiety problems.

After Mengxi became a digital vagrant, she was particularly happy that she finally got rid of the "class taste" and found the wilderness of life. However, after three months of sweet period, she gradually fell into "wilderness anxiety", which once affected her daily life.

"Who ever thought that naked resignation was depressed before, but he was anxious after naked resignation?"

Meng Xi is frank, and he will want to go back to work during the six months of being a digital vagrant. For example, when there is no traffic, there are only three praises from the media a day. When the efforts are fruitless, when the income is unstable, when you can only eat, sleep and work in one place every day.

She calls this stage "snake molting". Every month, she nests in the corner, doing nothing, feeling the vitality slowly shrinking and disappearing, and then after reaching a node, new skin emerges and lives again.

Similarly, in order to avoid anxiety, Xia Mengren will meditate at the seaside every morning, observe breathing attentively, and feel the state of every part of his body. Every time he finishes meditation, he will feel as if his whole body is charged.

Third, my peace of mind is "making money"

Of course, digital vagrants are most anxious about money. After all,Poetry and distance are very expensive, and the pursuit of dreams and freedom is inseparable from travelling expenses.

"In fact, if you jump out of the framework and put down your face, you will find that there are really many ways to make money." Emily combines her own experience with that of digital vagrants around her. Many digital vagrants will cultivate themselves into "fish with many claws" and there will be many income channels.

Digital vagrants make money both offline and online. Off-line, many digital vagrants usually focus on experience and try different careers.Make money with your love and expertise.For example, market stalls, bar singing, teaching yoga and so on.

Fangfang chose to set up a stall in the streets of Australia to sell handmade ornaments. In the eyes of people around you, this is all about "Amazing". After all, Fang Fang used to handle tens of millions of projects, but now she will fight for an extra 50 yuan in booth fees and market hosting.

In Australia, Fangfang is increasingly talking about the word "hourly wage". Even the invitation interview, her first reaction is:Yes, but you have to pay by the hour.

More digital vagrants will look for jobs online through remote platforms.According to Statista, 17% of global digital vagrants are employed by telecommuting companies, and 83% are self-employed or freelancers.

Online platforms include platforms such as Remote.co and Bossjob, platforms focusing on freelancing such as Upwork and Freelancer, and comprehensive job-hunting platforms such as LinkedIn and Boss Direct Employment.

There are also many digital vagrants,Rely on the contacts accumulated in the past, and take orders to find a job through mutual introduction and internal promotion of "people of the same mind".

Alex is one of them. He is about to be promoted to a nursing father and wants to find a job that can balance work and life.

However, considering the age of 30+, it will cost a lot of time to find a job with a salary or an increase before Cover in China, so it is difficult to divide time for life.

Moreover, combined with his own background and technical advantages, Alex also made a rational evaluation. "If it is a general-purpose iOS, I will go to a senior level, or a level like P7, I think my industry field will be narrow."

After comprehensive consideration, Alex feels that it is more suitable for him to skillfully use geographical spreads to find jobs for companies in Europe, America and Singapore to support remote services.

Beilu, on the other hand, found himself enjoying the state of "working while traveling" during the 10-month freelance exploration, so he consciously went to look for a remote job and found the current overseas technology startup company.

Bellow revealed that a business plan project takes about a week and earns 1,000 to 1,500 dollars.

Time is free, so is taking orders. "The income is not bad. Compared with the previous factory, the salary can be doubled."

But there is no denying that,Finding a reliable remote position is not easy.

Lucas, who works in Web 3, has a deep feeling that he faces many problems when he is looking for a remote job. "All kinds of information on some platforms are mixed, and you will worry about whether the company is reliable. There are also some platforms that have fewer domestic jobs and need to spend a lot of time looking for them. "

Emily stepped in the pit in this respect. There is an unreliable platform for teaching Chinese as a foreign language, and the class fee can’t be withdrawn, which makes people angry.

In ord to find a reliable opportunity,Alex specially wrote a crawler to climb various technical communities and LinkedIn."As long as you find the relevant position, you will automatically email me, and I will check it immediately."

Xiaoyu "happened" to find a job in the digital vagrant community. "I just shared the copy I just finished with my partners, and I wanted to get a key and three links. I didn’t expect to get a job."

Xiaoyu was originally from the brand PR, and she is very familiar with all kinds of copywriting. The copywriting she just shared happened to be seen by Ellie in the group. Ellie is currently operating for an overseas company, just as a new product is on the line, and she needs to write a handwritten promotion copy. Before, the two had interaction in the digital homeless group. This "timing" was just right, and the two hit it off and started a "win-win" cooperation.

of course，There are also many digital vagrants who have chosen to realize from the media.Xia Mengren is one of them. In her view, self-media account is a bit like the logic of saving money-saving a little every day will inevitably add up, because it has compound interest.

When the road from the media went through, Xia Mengren found that the money earned by working in a big factory for so many years was not as much as that earned by digital vagrants in recent months. More and more, she feels how inefficient it is to make money by packing all her time and selling it to the company.

"It is impossible to get money at work, and going to work will only affect the speed of making money." Xia Meng people sincerely expressed their feelings.

coda

If you had a time machine, would you choose the past or the future? Some people choose to go back to the past, while others choose to go to the future.

In reality, everyone gave the answer.

Some digital vagrants have chosen to return to the big factory for a period of time;

Some people "never go to work in this life", pack up their bags and fly to the next destination;

Some people find new projects and start businesses in this process;

Some people return to the workplace again and make screws again.

As Fang Fang said, life is like a huge open-world game. You can choose to do the main task, get promoted and raised in a big factory, or choose the sideline treasure hunt, such as being a digital vagrant and exploring freelancing.

Many people have asked Sherry, where are you going next?

She can’t answer this question, but she knows that she will never stop exploring the world.

(The interviewees in the article are all pseudonyms)

On August 31st, 1991, the State Council held a national working conference on cleaning up "triangular debts". The main contents are as follows: 1. "Triangle debt" has become a serious obstacle to the normal operation of the national economy, and it is imperative to fundamentally solve the problem of "triangle debt". The State Council decided to clean up the "triangle debt" as a breakthrough to enliven large and medium-sized state-owned enterprises and control the economic order. The main leaders of local governments should personally ask about the cleanup work and put it on the agenda; Overcome wrong ideas, seize the time and do it well in three years. Second, the meeting stipulated the guiding ideology, main tasks, main practices and key targets of this work, and stipulated the time limit for the occurrence of this "triangular debt" included in the clean-up, as of June 30, 1991. Third, the meeting exchanged the experience of the pilot project of clearing debts in Northeast China and the measures to prevent debts. Combined with the actual situation of various regions and departments, the meeting formulated more specific and feasible scheme measures for clearing debts and preventing debts, and put forward specific requirements for the next step of clearing debts.

On August 17th, 1992, the Office of the Leading Group for Clearing Triangular Debts in the State Council introduced that China had made great progress in clearing triangular debts.

By the end of July, except for a few projects that did not meet the loan conditions and the national industrial policy, the arrears of national capital construction and technological transformation before the end of 1991 had been basically cleared up, one year ahead of schedule. In the past two years, the state has injected 51 billion yuan to clean up triangular debts. And take the scientific method of cleaning up the fixed assets from the source of default for five consecutive years, and untie the debt chain of enterprises by more than 200 billion yuan, which has achieved good results by investing funds in 1 yuan to clear 4 yuan’s arrears. This progress has eased the debt chain burden for large and medium-sized enterprises, thus creating favorable conditions for the rational growth of the national economy.

However, there are still some provinces and cities with projects with funding gaps, resulting in new arrears; There are also some enterprises that do not look at the market and blindly produce, resulting in a backlog of products. The State Council asked all regions and departments not to leave a gap in funds for new projects to prevent new arrears, and reiterated that the state would no longer organize the liquidation of arrears that occurred after 1992.

　　On August 11th, the "Administrative Measures for Settlement of Points in Beijing (Trial)" was officially released and will be implemented next year. This is a major reform of Beijing’s household registration management system, which will establish an open and fair settlement channel for ordinary workers who have been legally and stably employed and legally settled in Beijing for a long time, enhance their sense of urban integration and belonging, and share the fruits of harmonious social development.

　　What considerations does Beijing have in the process of formulating this policy? Are the settlement conditions as "the strictest in history" as the outside world has said? Does it mean that it is easier to settle down after the introduction of the policy?

　　"In formulating policies, we should not only solve the problem of qualified ordinary workers settling down, promote social harmony, but also grasp the effective connection and balance between the points settlement policy and the population control target, and at the same time provide human resources guarantee for upgrading the core functions of the capital. The final document is a comprehensive balance after considering multiple conditions." Professor Li Guoping, president of Peking University Capital Development Research Institute who participated in policy formulation, said.

　　Give extra points to encourage employment and residence in the suburbs.

　　"The so-called settlement of points means that by establishing an index system, the conditions for holders of residence permits to apply for settlement are quantified, and each index is given a certain score. Those who have reached the specified score can apply for permanent residence in Beijing." The relevant person in charge of the Beijing Development and Reform Commission introduced.

　　The index system of settlement of points in Beijing is designed around the strategic positioning of the capital city and the needs of development at this stage, mainly for qualified ordinary workers, focusing on solving the problem of settlement of people who have been in Beijing for a long time and have strong employability. Simply put, the overall policy framework can be summarized as "4+2+7". That is, four qualifications: those who hold a residence permit in Beijing, are below the statutory retirement age, have paid social insurance for 7 years in Beijing, and have no criminal record; Two basic indicators: legally stable employment and legally stable residence; Seven guiding indicators: including education background, occupation and residence area, innovation and entrepreneurship ability, tax payment, age, honor recognition, law-abiding record and so on.

　　In addition to Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin, Guangzhou and Shenzhen have introduced the points system. The reporter compared the provisions of several cities on the conditions of "entry" and found that Beijing’s approach was not as "the strictest in history" as the Internet said. For example, in terms of the applicant’s age, Guangzhou requires 20-mdash; 45 years old, Shenzhen requires 18-mdash; 48 years old, while Beijing stipulates that the statutory retirement age is below, which relatively expands the range of people who can apply for the settlement of points, which is more in line with the original intention of policy formulation. For another example, Shanghai requires to pay social security for seven years and must have intermediate or above professional titles or professional qualifications of technicians, while Beijing does not implement "one-vote veto" on professional titles and professional qualifications.

　　"As far as entry qualifications are concerned, Beijing should be regarded as the middle level among several megacities." Professor Li Guoping said that under the premise of implementing national requirements, Beijing’s implementation measures highlighted basic requirements such as legal and stable employment and stable residence, and focused on solving the problem of eligible ordinary workers settling down. At the same time, a number of guiding indicators have been set. For example, Beijing, as a national science and technology innovation center and cultural center, has a high demand for personnel in related fields, so the policy sets educational background and innovation and entrepreneurship indicators. For another example, in order to orderly relieve the functions of non-capital, promote the optimization of urban spatial layout, give extra points to encourage employment and residence in the suburbs. According to the regulations, if the applicant’s residence is transferred from the six districts of the city to other administrative regions, 2 points will be added for each full year, with a maximum of 6 points. If the applicant’s place of employment and residence are transferred from the six districts of the city to other administrative regions, 4 points will be added for each full year, with a maximum of 12 points.

　　You can only settle down after publicity to prevent fraud.

　　According to reports, Beijing’s point settlement policy implements "total control+voluntary application". Through the method of "applying first and marking later", the settlement score will be determined through comprehensive calculation and overall research according to the actual size of applicants and the requirements of annual population control targets.

　　Li Sufang, deputy director and spokesperson of the Beijing Municipal Development and Reform Commission, said that the policy of settlement of points concerns the vital interests of the masses, and the operation and implementation of the policy will run in the sun, reducing the space for discretion through institutionalized regulations.

　　After the introduction of the points management measures, the relevant departments will also issue implementation rules to clarify the identification standards of various indicators and the specific operational procedures for policy implementation. Generally speaking, it needs to go through the applicant’s application, unified declaration by the unit, departmental linkage review, unified publicity to the public, etc., and finally determine the settled personnel before going through the relevant settlement procedures. In order to facilitate the handling to the greatest extent, the applicant unit shall make a unified declaration to the human resources and social security department of the administrative region where it is located, and use the information processing channel to implement online handling. Once a year, a period of time will be determined for centralized application. If the application does not reach the settlement score in that year and the application continues in the next year, the applicant only needs to choose to update the changed information, and the original score will remain unchanged for the unchanged information.

　　All relevant departments will strictly review the procedures. The information submitted by the applicant will be reviewed and cross-checked by the municipal and district human resources and social departments and a number of municipal departments to ensure the authenticity of the information. Finally, it will be summarized into the human resources and social departments, and the applicant’s comprehensive score will be calculated through the points settlement information system. Establish a publicity system for settlement of points to prevent illegal operations. Applicants who have reached the required score must go through publicity before they can settle down.

　　Holders of residence permits gradually enjoy more public services.

　　With the settlement policy of points, is it more difficult or easier for ordinary people to settle in Beijing?

　　According to the person in charge of the Beijing Municipal Development and Reform Commission, the current settlement channels mainly include college graduates, talent introduction, relatives’ refuge and job transfer. After the implementation of the settlement policy, other channels will still be implemented according to the original policy. In other words, the settlement of points has added a settlement channel for ordinary people.

　　At the same time, as the capital of Beijing, the complexity and population pressure of household registration management are far greater than those of other megacities. The population red line in the "Thirteenth Five-Year Plan" was set at 23 million, but now the permanent population in Beijing has reached 21.705 million. Statistics from the statistics department show that the actual resident population in 2015 increased by more than 8 million compared with 2000. Studies have shown that in this process, the growth of migrant population is the main reason for the growth of permanent population in Beijing. From 2000 to 2015, the average annual growth rate of permanent residents in Beijing was 8.1%, far exceeding the average annual growth rate of registered population of 1.3%.

　　The state requires the implementation of differentiated settlement policies for cities with different population sizes, among which mega-cities should strictly control the population size. We should not only consider the interests of almost all workers who have been working and living in Beijing for a long time, but also consider the needs of reducing the development of Beijing. "Keeping a balance between the two is also a test for us." The relevant person in charge of the Beijing Municipal Development and Reform Commission said.

　　Will there be a gap between the effectiveness of the implementation of the points settlement policy and the public’s expectations? The person in charge of the relevant departments said that after Beijing fully implements the residence permit system, it will simultaneously establish a basic public service provision mechanism with the residence permit as the carrier and linked to the residence permit. In addition, Beijing has actively created conditions to steadily expand the scope of public services enjoyed by holders of residence permits.

　　Cctv newsAccording to the Central Meteorological Observatory, it is estimated that in the next three days, Shaanxi, Henan, Hubei, Chongqing, Sichuan, Gansu and other places will have the risk of rainstorm disasters, and pay attention to possible flash floods and geological disasters, urban and rural waterlogging, floods in small and medium-sized rivers, farmland waterlogging, etc. Pay attention to the development trend and influence of typhoon "Little Dog".

　　Continuous rain in west China

　　On October 2, there was precipitation in West China, moderate to heavy rain in parts of Chongqing, northern Guizhou, southern Henan, most of Hubei and northern Hunan, and local heavy rain.

　　From the 4th, there will be another round of rainfall in central and southern Shaanxi, eastern Sichuan, Chongqing, western Guizhou, northwestern Hubei and western Henan. There will be moderate to heavy snow or sleet in central and eastern Qinghai and central and southern Gansu, and there will be heavy snow in the local area.

　　Typhoon Little Dog will move to the northwest.

　　Typhoon Koinu, the 14th typhoon this year, was upgraded from a strong tropical storm to a typhoon last night (1st). At 5 o’clock this morning (2nd), its center is located in the northwest Pacific Ocean about 790 kilometers south-east of Taiwan Province, China, which is 19.0 degrees north latitude and 127.8 degrees east longitude. The maximum wind force near the center is 13 (38m).

　　It is estimated that "Little Dog" will move to the northwest at a speed of about 10-15 kilometers per hour, and gradually approach to the east of Taiwan Province, and its intensity will gradually increase, with the strongest typhoon level or super typhoon level (15-16, 48-52 m/s). It will land on the southeast coast of Taiwan Province from the morning of the 5th to the morning, move to the west after landing, and enter the northeast of the South China Sea, and its intensity will gradually weaken.

　　Specific forecast for the next three days

　　From 08: 00 on October 2 to 08: 00 on October 3,There are moderate to heavy rains in parts of southeastern Tibet, southern Qinghai, Chongqing, northern Guizhou, southern Henan, most of Hubei, northern Hunan, northeastern Guangxi and northern Guangdong, among which there are heavy rains (50 ~ 70 mm) in southwestern Hubei and southeastern Chongqing. East of Taiwan Province and bashi channel, there will be 6-7 winds and 8 gusts increasing from 8 to 9 (see Figure 1).

Figure 1 National Precipitation Forecast Chart (08: 00 on October 2-08: 00 on October 3)

　　From 08: 00 on October 3 to 08: 00 on October 4,There are moderate to heavy rains in parts of southwestern Heilongjiang, eastern Liaoning, southeastern Tibet, eastern Qinghai, southeastern Gansu, south-central Shaanxi, northern Chongqing and northern Taiwan Province Island, among which there are heavy rains (50-95 mm) in parts of northern and eastern Taiwan Province Island. There are 4 ~ 6 winds in parts of southeastern Inner Mongolia and northern Tibet. There will be 6 ~ 7 winds and 8 gusts in the Bohai Sea, the Bohai Strait, most of the Yellow Sea and the northern part of the East China Sea, and 7 ~ 8 winds and 9 gusts in the southwestern part of the East China Sea. East of Taiwan Province, there will be 7-8 winds and 9-10 gusts, and 9-11 gusts (see Figure 2).

Figure 2 National Precipitation Forecast Chart (08: 00 on October 3-08: 00 on October 4)

　　From 08: 00 on October 4 to 08: 00 on October 5,There are moderate to heavy snow or sleet in parts of southeastern Tibet, central and eastern Qinghai, and central and southern Gansu, and there are local blizzards. There are moderate to heavy rains in parts of northern Heilongjiang, south-central Shaanxi, eastern Sichuan, Chongqing, western Guizhou, northwestern Hubei, western Henan and most of Taiwan Province Island, among which there are heavy rains or heavy rains (100-220 mm) in parts of eastern and southern Taiwan Province Island. There are 4 ~ 6 winds in parts of central Inner Mongolia, southwestern Heilongjiang and central Shandong. There will be 6 ~ 7 winds and 8 gusts in the Bohai Sea, the Bohai Strait, most of the Yellow Sea and the northern part of the East China Sea, and 7 ~ 8 winds and 9 gusts in the southwestern part of the East China Sea. There will be 12 ~ 14 winds and 15 gusts in the east of Taiwan Province, 10 ~ 12 winds and 13 gusts in the Taiwan Province Strait, and 11 ~ 12 winds and 13 gusts in bashi channel (see Figure 3).

Figure 3 National Precipitation Forecast Chart (08: 00 on October 4-08: 00 on October 5)